Korea Development Institute Raises 2026 Growth Forecast

South Korea's state-run Korea Development Institute on Feb. 11 raised its 2026 economic growth forecast to 1.9%, citing strong semiconductor exports driven by global AI demand. The revision is 0.1 percentage point above KDI's November projection, slightly below the government's 2.0% estimate and above the Bank of Korea's 1.8%. January exports rose 33.9% to $65.85 billion; semiconductors surged 102.7% to $20.54 billion, though U.S. tariff uncertainty poses a downside risk.
Scoring Rationale
Official KDI revision backed by large semiconductor export data; limited novelty and mainly national-level economic impact.
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Sources
- Read OriginalSouth Korea lifts 2026 growth outlook to 1.9% on chip boomupi.com