Bettors Profit Betting Against Musk Promises

Bettors on Kalshi and Polymarket are wagering that Elon Musk will not deliver on multiple high-profile promises, and some have earned tens of thousands of dollars on resolved markets. One bettor made nearly $10,000 on a political-party wager and $36,000 across 12 Musk-related bets; sites now host dozens of Musk topics with divergent contract rules. These markets provide a real-time disciplining signal.